Language:English
Virginia Cavaliers v Syracuse Orange
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Virginia Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 81.74%1.22fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -14.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.58%81.85%81.78%83.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.171.1989.29%86.33%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Syracuse Orange (Visit)
Prediction 18.26%5.48fair odd
EV +4.97%
Edge +0.865%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%18.15%18.22%20.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.245.205.7521.74%19.08%19.23%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 81.74%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 18.26%. For Syracuse Orange (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.63%E -6.75%K -58.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.97%E +0.865%K +1.05%G +0.052% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -7.63%E -6.75%K -58.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +2.24%E +0.399%K +0.486%G +0.011% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -7.63%E -6.75%K -58.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +2.24%E +0.399%K +0.486%G +0.011% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.410%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 23:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +0.410%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.45%E -7.54%K -70.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.410%E +0.075%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -0.320%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -0.320%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 23:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.73%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.27%EV -0.320%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.42%E -0.262%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.90%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.10%EV -2.51%E -0.470%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-10 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.15%E -0.791%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.15%E -0.791%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.15%E -0.791%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.81%E -5.98%K -48.66%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.07%E -0.974%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.89%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -6.89%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.89%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -5.99%E -5.21%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -7.62%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-10 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.73%E -2.29%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 21:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.18%E -4.46%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.99%E -5.21%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.45%E -7.54%K -70.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.45%E -7.54%K -70.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.72%E -1.74%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.99%E -5.21%K -39.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -10.54%E -2.15%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.28%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.28%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 21:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.28%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 23:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.28%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 20:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.54%E -3.00%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.02%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.02%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.36%E -3.73%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.02%E -3.48%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 23:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.73% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 15.27% | 0.0% | 2026-10-10 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 23:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 23:31 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 20:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.60% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.40% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 23:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-10-10 23:35 |