Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers v Syracuse Orange

2026-10-10 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 73.30%1.36fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -3.62%
Kelly -15.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.05%73.36%73.44%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.281.281.3078.74%77.84%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Orange (Visit)

Prediction 26.70%3.75fair odd
EV +0.129%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.64%26.56%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.603.7530.30%27.79%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 73.30%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 26.70%. For Syracuse Orange (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.745. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.750, producing a positive expected value of +0.129%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.129%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 11:59
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.129%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.129%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 11:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.129%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.91%E -5.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.129%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.91%E -5.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.129%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.91%E -5.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +0.129%E +0.034%K +0.047%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.91%E -5.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.21%E -0.326%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 12:00
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.91%E -5.44%K -25.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.21%E -0.326%K -0.447%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 11:59
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 11:01
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 11:20
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 12:44
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.44%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.56%EV -5.48%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 12:59
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 11:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.71%E -3.62%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 11:00
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -5.44%E -4.22%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -10.82%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 11:00
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.18%E -4.83%K -22.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 11:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-10-04 12:05
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 70.65%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.35%8.9%2026-10-04 13:16