Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers v Syracuse Orange

2026-10-10 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 74.87%1.34fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -11.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.22%74.78%74.95%75.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.271.2980.65%78.69%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Orange (Visit)

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.692%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%25.22%25.05%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.803.9028.57%26.57%26.32%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 74.87%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 25.13%. For Syracuse Orange (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.90, with an expected value of -2.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 07:10
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 07:10
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.41%E -2.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 10:45
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 07:09
Caesars🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 07:09
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 07:10
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 07:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 14:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 09:35
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.01%E -0.515%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 13:45
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 13:45
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%EV -3.51%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 07:09
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 07:10
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.91%E -3.87%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 13:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.01%E -0.515%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 11:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 13:45
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-05 07:10
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.41%E -5.13%K -25.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-05 07:10
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.16%E -5.77%K -29.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04%-0.3%2026-10-05 06:45
Polymarket◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-05 12:10
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-05 13:35
ProphetX◎1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%4.4%2026-10-05 13:30