The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Virginia Cavaliers v Norfolk State Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-09-11 23:00 UTC

Final: Virginia Cavaliers 59–3 Norfolk State Spartans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 96.47%1.04fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -256.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%96.47%98.08%99.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.83%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norfolk State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 3.53%28.31fair odd
EV +256.72%
Edge +2.54%
Kelly +2.57%
Growth +6.59%

assuming max odds 101.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.98%3.53%1.92%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0038.5427.63101.008.33%2.59%3.62%0.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 96.47%; Norfolk State Spartans (Visit): 3.53%. For Norfolk State Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 28.31. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 101.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +256.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -3.53%E -3.53%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +256.72%E +2.54%K +2.57%G +6.59%1.0%2026-09-06 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -3.53%E -3.53%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +80.13%E +1.57%K +1.60%G +1.28%2.0%2026-09-07 12:40
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -3.53%E -3.53%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +44.81%E +1.09%K +1.12%G +0.502%2.4%2026-09-07 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.57%E -2.54%K -256.72%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -49.67%E -3.49%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:15
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.53%E -3.53%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -57.62%E -4.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 23:50
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.53%E -3.53%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -57.62%E -4.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-09-07 09:00