Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.09
assuming max odds 10.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 89.22%; Delaware Blue Hens (Visit): 10.78%. For Delaware Blue Hens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.28. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.78%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +7.78%E +0.778%K +0.864%G +0.067% | 3.5% | 2026-09-26 21:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.11%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.66I 10.35%NM 9.89%EV +4.11%E +0.426%K +0.475%G +0.020% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 21:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.02%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.98%EV +4.01%E +0.415%K +0.463%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +3.47%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 21:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +3.47%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.92%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.307%K +0.342%G +0.010% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +2.39%E +0.252%K +0.281%G +0.007% | 4.0% | 2026-09-21 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +0.880%E +0.094%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-21 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +0.880%E +0.094%K +0.105%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-09-21 18:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -0.305%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 02:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -0.305%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -0.305%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.32%EV -3.64%E -3.37%K -45.50%G +0.000% | 9.03I 11.07%NM 10.68%EV -2.68%E -0.296%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 13:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 13:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-23 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.75%E -2.52%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-26 21:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.64%E -3.37%K -45.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 06:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.64%E -3.37%K -45.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.78%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.78%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-25 11:21 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -15.93%E -2.04%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 21:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.17%E -2.56%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 21:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.17%E -2.56%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 21:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.49% | 13.30I 7.52%NM 7.51% | 0.1% | 2026-09-26 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 21:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.75% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.25% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.62% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.38% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 21:50 |