Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers v Delaware Blue Hens

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 22:00 UTC

Final: Virginia Cavaliers 42–3 Delaware Blue Hens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 89.22%1.12fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -30.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.62%89.14%89.39%90.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.0995.24%93.83%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware Blue Hens (Visit)

Prediction 10.78%9.28fair odd
EV +7.78%
Edge +0.778%
Kelly +0.864%
Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.67%10.86%10.61%12.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.909.0010.0013.33%11.23%11.11%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 89.22%; Delaware Blue Hens (Visit): 10.78%. For Delaware Blue Hens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.28. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +7.78%E +0.778%K +0.864%G +0.067%3.5%2026-09-26 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.11%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 9.89%EV +4.11%E +0.426%K +0.475%G +0.020%4.7%2026-09-26 21:19
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.02%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.98%EV +4.01%E +0.415%K +0.463%G +0.019%3.8%2026-09-26 20:30
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +3.47%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014%4.8%2026-09-26 21:50
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +3.47%E +0.361%K +0.403%G +0.014%4.8%2026-09-26 21:55
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.92%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.08%EV +2.93%E +0.307%K +0.342%G +0.010%3.9%2026-09-26 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +2.39%E +0.252%K +0.281%G +0.007%4.0%2026-09-21 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +0.880%E +0.094%K +0.105%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-21 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +0.880%E +0.094%K +0.105%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-21 18:09
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -0.305%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 02:33
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -0.305%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -0.305%E -0.033%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.32%EV -3.64%E -3.37%K -45.50%G +0.000%9.03I 11.07%NM 10.68%EV -2.68%E -0.296%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 12:05
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 13:44
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.00%E -0.333%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 13:45
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.75%E -2.52%K -30.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-26 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.64%E -3.37%K -45.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 22:14
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-25 06:23
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 13:40
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.39%E -0.987%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.64%E -3.37%K -45.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.78%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.78%E -1.72%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 11:21
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -4.53%E -4.24%K -64.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -15.93%E -2.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 21:14
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.17%E -2.56%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 21:44
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.42%E -5.12%K -90.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.17%E -2.56%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.49%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.51%0.1%2026-09-26 21:55
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-26 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-26 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-26 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-26 21:35
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.75%10.70I 9.35%NM 9.25%1.1%2026-09-26 21:50
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.62%10.53I 9.50%NM 9.38%1.2%2026-09-26 21:50