Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers v Delaware Blue Hens

2026-09-26 22:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 88.72%1.13fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -4.74%
Kelly -72.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.47%88.72%88.20%90.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.061.061.0795.24%94.12%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware Blue Hens (Visit)

Prediction 11.28%8.86fair odd
EV +11.71%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 9.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.67%11.28%11.80%12.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.408.057.809.9013.51%12.42%12.82%10.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 88.72%; Delaware Blue Hens (Visit): 11.28%. For Delaware Blue Hens (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.86. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.90, producing a positive expected value of +11.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -5.96%E -5.62%K -99.35%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +11.71%E +1.18%K +1.32%G +0.154%4.4%2026-09-20 11:19
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.85%E -6.52%K -136.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -4.09%E -0.481%K -0.545%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.74%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.73%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.07%E -4.74%K -72.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.73%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:23
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.66%EV -5.07%E -4.74%K -72.48%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -14.24%E -1.87%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:19
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.96%E -5.62%K -99.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.37%E -2.05%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 11:14
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.96%E -5.62%K -99.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -15.37%E -2.05%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 11:17
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.47%EV -5.96%E -5.62%K -99.35%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV -16.50%E -2.23%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 11:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-09-20 07:54
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 90.15%9.52I 10.50%NM 9.85%6.7%2026-09-20 11:19