Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v Delaware Blue Hens

2026-09-12 20:15 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 91.35%1.09fair odd

EV -4.08%

Edge -3.89%

Kelly -81.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.05%91.35%91.35%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.041.031.0597.09%96.46%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware Blue Hens (Visit)

Prediction 8.65%11.56fair odd

EV +12.41%

Edge +0.955%

Kelly +1.03%

Growth +0.128%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.34%8.65%8.65%9.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.5010.8310.0013.0010.53%9.23%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 91.35%; Delaware Blue Hens (Visit): 8.65%. For Delaware Blue Hens (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.56. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.00, producing a positive expected value of +12.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.91%E -5.73%K -196.88%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +12.41%E +0.955%K +1.03%G +0.128%	4.8%	2026-09-04 06:10
SportsBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.91%E -5.73%K -196.88%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.53%E -1.35%K -1.50%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-04 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.08%E -3.89%K -81.59%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -17.85%E -1.88%K -2.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-04 07:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	0.6%	2026-09-04 07:05