Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v Delaware Blue Hens

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 20:15 UTC

Final: Vanderbilt Commodores 35–26 Delaware Blue Hens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 89.91%1.11fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -36.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.41%89.95%89.88%91.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.39%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware Blue Hens (Visit)

Prediction 10.09%9.91fair odd
EV +11.03%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.122%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.56%10.05%10.12%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.619.4011.0013.33%10.40%10.64%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 89.91%; Delaware Blue Hens (Visit): 10.09%. For Delaware Blue Hens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.91. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.03%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.122%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.03%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.122%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.03%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.122%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +11.03%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.122%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.40%E -7.18%K -246.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +11.03%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.122%6.2%2026-09-12 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.50%E -6.25%K -162.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.99%E +0.570%K +0.630%G +0.038%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.50%E -6.25%K -162.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.99%E +0.570%K +0.630%G +0.038%5.7%2026-09-12 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.50%E -6.25%K -162.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.99%E +0.570%K +0.630%G +0.038%5.7%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.50%E -6.25%K -162.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.99%E +0.570%K +0.630%G +0.038%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.50%E -6.25%K -162.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.99%E +0.570%K +0.630%G +0.038%5.7%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.32%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +2.96%E +0.290%K +0.321%G +0.010%4.1%2026-09-12 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +0.939%E +0.094%K +0.104%G +0.001%3.5%2026-09-12 19:49
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.939%E +0.094%K +0.104%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.37%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.97%G +0.000%9.85I 10.15%NM 9.63%EV -0.576%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.69I 10.32%NM 9.94%EV -2.19%E -0.226%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 19:45
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.11%E -0.432%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 14:20
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV -5.12%E -0.544%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -5.52%E -0.590%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -5.52%E -0.590%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:20
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -6.63%E -0.717%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 19:20
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.32%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.63%E -0.717%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.32%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -6.63%E -0.717%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.16%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.16%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 09:10
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -9.16%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 18:29
Everygame🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.70%E -4.43%K -78.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.16%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 14:18
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -11.68%E -1.33%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 19:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -13.19%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.20%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 19:35
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.20%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 08:25
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.60%E -5.33%K -111.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.20%E -1.67%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.80%E -3.55%K -54.29%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.73%E -2.03%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 19:34
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.90%E -2.69%K -36.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.30%E -3.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 02:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-08 21:15
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-12 19:50
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-09-12 20:00