Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v Austin Peay Governors

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

97%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 96.94%1.03fair odd

EV -2.09%

Edge -2.07%

Kelly -208.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.83%96.94%97.27%97.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.29%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin Peay Governors (Visit)

Prediction 3.06%32.71fair odd

EV +10.05%

Edge +0.279%

Kelly +0.287%

Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 36.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

2.70%3.06%2.73%9.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0023.0023.5036.0010.00%4.35%4.26%2.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 96.94%; Austin Peay Governors (Visit): 3.06%. For Austin Peay Governors (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 32.71. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 36.00, producing a positive expected value of +10.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%EV -2.09%E -2.07%K -208.76%G +0.000%	36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%EV +10.05%E +0.279%K +0.287%G +0.029%	1.8%	2026-07-28 19:09
FanDuel🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -3.06%E -3.06%K +0.000%G +0.000%	36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +10.05%E +0.279%K +0.287%G +0.029%	2.8%	2026-07-28 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -2.09%E -2.07%K -208.76%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV -20.52%E -0.789%K -0.821%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-07-28 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -2.09%E -2.07%K -208.76%G +0.000%	23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV -28.16%E -1.20%K -1.25%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-07 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 93.85%EV -3.06%E -3.06%K +0.000%G +0.000%	15.25I 6.56%NM 6.15%EV -53.38%E -3.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-28 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.09%E -2.07%K -208.76%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -56.44%E -3.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-29 05:44
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -2.09%E -2.07%K -208.76%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -69.43%E -6.94%K -7.71%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-06 09:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.