The School of Odds

Vanderbilt Commodores v Austin Peay Governors

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 96.13%1.04fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -291.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.83%96.13%96.13%96.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.011.011.011.0199.01%99.01%99.01%99.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Austin Peay Governors (Visit)

Prediction 3.87%25.83fair odd
EV +20.03%
Edge +0.646%
Kelly +0.668%
Growth +0.134%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.16%3.87%3.87%9.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
10.0019.1917.8831.0010.00%5.21%5.59%3.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.91%E -2.88%K -291.08%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +20.03%E +0.646%K +0.668%G +0.134%2.2%2026-07-27 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -2.91%E -2.88%K -291.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -18.69%E -0.890%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 19:40
MyBookie.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 93.59%EV -2.91%E -2.88%K -291.08%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.41%EV -42.89%E -2.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 19:40
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -2.91%E -2.88%K -291.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -61.28%E -6.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.