Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v Arkansas Razorbacks

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 23:05 UTC

Final: Vanderbilt Commodores 21–31 Arkansas Razorbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 65.59%1.52fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%65.60%65.52%66.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%69.10%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 34.41%2.91fair odd
EV -0.911%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.02%34.40%34.48%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8838.46%36.43%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 65.59%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 34.41%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -0.911%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.92%E -1.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.92%E -1.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.58%E -2.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.94%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 21:50
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.58%E -2.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.63%E -0.930%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-17 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.58%E -2.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 23:25
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.58%E -2.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.04%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.58%E -2.43%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 18:20
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.23%E -2.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.23%E -2.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 21:25
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.23%E -2.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.23%E -2.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 21:35
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 21:43
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 17:40
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.35%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 20:35
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:34
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 17:40
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 21:35
betfred_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.55%E -4.06%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.89%E -3.37%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.55%E -4.06%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 22:53
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.94%E -0.682%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 21:35
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.13%EV -5.54%E -3.85%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.87%EV -7.45%E -2.77%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.20%E -4.34%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.37%EV -6.07%E -2.22%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.20%E -4.34%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 22:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.911%E -0.316%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.911%E -0.316%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 14:09
picklebet_au🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.86%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.86%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 21:35
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.86%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-10-17 22:00
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-10-17 21:45
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-17 19:10
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-16 14:25
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-10-17 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-10-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-10-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-10-17 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-10-17 22:40