Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v Arkansas Razorbacks

2026-10-17 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 67.94%1.47fair odd

EV -2.84%

Edge -1.99%

Kelly -6.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.85%67.94%67.82%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.391.401.4373.53%71.72%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd

EV -0.628%

Edge -0.203%

Kelly -0.299%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.80%32.06%32.18%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.872.883.1037.04%34.79%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 67.94%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 32.06%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -0.628%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.84%E -1.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -7.68%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-11 06:10
SportsBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.24%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.89%E -3.92%K -6.12%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-11 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.44%E -1.84%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-11 06:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.45%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-10-11 06:10
Fanatics🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.41%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.628%E -0.203%K -0.299%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-11 07:10
ReBet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.41%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -6.72%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-11 06:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.60%E -5.58%K -21.10%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.24%E -3.66%K -5.69%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-11 06:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%	4.9%	2026-10-11 07:35
Polymarket◎	1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%	9.0%	2026-10-11 07:50