Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners v UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

2026-09-05 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

96%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 95.67%1.05fair odd

EV -3.37%

Edge -3.34%

Kelly -337.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.83%95.67%95.79%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.011.011.0199.01%99.01%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit)

Prediction 4.33%23.09fair odd

EV +12.61%

Edge +0.485%

Kelly +0.504%

Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.74%4.33%4.21%9.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0019.3619.0026.0010.00%5.17%5.26%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 95.67%; UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit): 4.33%. For UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 23.09. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 26.00, producing a positive expected value of +12.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.37%E -3.34%K -337.44%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +12.61%E +0.485%K +0.504%G +0.064%	2.9%	2026-08-10 16:24
SportsBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.37%E -3.34%K -337.44%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +12.61%E +0.485%K +0.504%G +0.064%	2.9%	2026-08-12 00:09
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.37%E -3.34%K -337.44%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -0.384%E -0.017%K -0.017%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-29 03:34
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.37%E -3.34%K -337.44%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -17.71%E -0.932%K -0.984%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-15 22:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -3.37%E -3.34%K -337.44%G +0.000%	18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -19.87%E -1.07%K -1.14%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-10 16:25
ReBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.37%E -3.34%K -337.44%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -43.70%E -3.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 22:34
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -3.37%E -3.34%K -337.44%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -56.69%E -5.67%K -6.30%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-10 16:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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