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UTSA Roadrunners v South Florida Bulls
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UTSA Roadrunners (Local)
Prediction 70.53%1.42fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -7.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.20%70.86%70.50%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.83%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Florida Bulls (Visit)
Prediction 29.47%3.39fair odd
EV +3.15%
Edge +0.899%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.14%29.50%30.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.253.5032.26%30.41%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 70.53%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 29.47%. For South Florida Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.31%E -6.39%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.15%E +0.899%K +1.26%G +0.040% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 03:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.78%E -3.54%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.93%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -3.93%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -3.93%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 10:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.78%E -3.54%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.78%E -3.54%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.78%E -3.54%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.78%E -3.54%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -6.29%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.67%E -1.93%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.78%E -3.54%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 14:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60% | 0.1% | 2026-10-05 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 05:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 12:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |