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UTSA Roadrunners v Navy Midshipmen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UTSA Roadrunners (Local)
Prediction 65.33%1.53fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -5.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.88%65.25%65.38%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.4971.43%69.17%68.97%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Navy Midshipmen (Visit)
Prediction 34.67%2.88fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.637%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.75%34.62%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8538.46%36.49%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 65.33%; Navy Midshipmen (Visit): 34.67%. For Navy Midshipmen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.66%E -1.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.95%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-17 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-18 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.32%E -2.24%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.57%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.57%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 23:50 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.85%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.62%E -3.17%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -2.57%E -0.913%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.62%E -3.17%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 23:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.62%E -3.17%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-17 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 23:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 23:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -7.42%E -2.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.85%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.85%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.85%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.28%E -3.64%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.85%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-17 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.93%E -4.12%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.15%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.18%E -0.414%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -4.99%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 00:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -7.07%E -2.64%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.89%E -5.60%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.11%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.85%E -3.79%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 2.4% | 2026-10-17 23:50 |