Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.35
assuming max odds 1.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTEP Miners (Local): 30.35%; San Jose State Spartans (Visit): 69.65%. For UTEP Miners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV +1.66%E +0.496%K +0.707%G +0.012% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.143%E +0.043%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-18 00:37 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.37%E -0.423%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-17 22:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.37%E -0.423%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.37%E -0.423%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.89%E -0.904%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.89%E -0.904%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-17 23:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.89%E -0.904%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 00:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.89%E -0.904%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.89%E -0.904%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.89%E -0.904%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.89%E -0.904%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-16 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.89%E -0.904%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -5.02%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.49%E -1.78%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 00:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 00:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.93%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.47%EV -6.53%E -2.12%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.84%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.49%E -1.78%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -6.84%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.49%E -1.78%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.57%E -3.34%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -8.06%E -6.10%K -25.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV -7.75%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.27%E -3.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.36%E -5.53%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-17 19:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -13.51%E -4.74%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.49%E -1.78%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.03%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.49%E -1.78%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.03%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.49%E -1.78%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.99% | -0.1% | 2026-10-17 23:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68% | 1.8% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 2.8% | 2026-10-18 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 56.84% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 43.16% | 74.2% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |