Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTEP Miners v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 23:05 UTC

Final: UTEP Miners 13–30 Nevada Wolf Pack

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTEP Miners (Local)

Prediction 23.55%4.25fair odd
EV +0.094%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%23.65%23.37%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.2527.78%25.09%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 76.45%1.31fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -7.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%76.35%76.63%77.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.2883.33%80.44%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTEP Miners (Local): 23.55%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 76.45%. For UTEP Miners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.246. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.250, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.094%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +0.094%E +0.022%K +0.029%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 22:59
Pinnacle🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.08%E -0.258%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 23:01
GTbets🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -1.79%E -0.429%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -7.50%E -6.20%K -35.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 23:05
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 23:05
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 21:00
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 23:00
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 21:05
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 23:05
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 23:05
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 23:05
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 23:05
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.44%E -0.839%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 23:05
BetUS🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -3.91%E -0.958%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -4.38%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -4.38%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 23:00
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 23:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 21:00
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 23:00
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 23:05
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 21:00
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 23:05
Fliff🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.79%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.73%E -5.52%K -30.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 23:05
NordicBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -6.74%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 23:05
Everygame🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.97%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.91%E -2.29%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Caesars🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.97%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 21:05
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.15%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.97%E -4.85%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.33%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.20%E -4.20%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 23:00
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.67%E -2.92%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.50%E -6.20%K -35.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 22:59
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.15%E -1.68%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.68%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.26%E -6.88%K -41.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.86%E -3.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 23:04
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 22:48
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.21%E -4.23%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.44%E -3.55%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94%-0.3%2026-10-10 22:59
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-10-10 22:55
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-10-05 06:45
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-10-10 23:05
Polymarket◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-10-10 14:01
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-10-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%3.8%2026-10-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%3.8%2026-10-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%6.3%2026-10-10 23:05