The School of Odds

Utah Utes v Idaho Vandals

2026-09-04 01:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 98.29%1.02fair odd
EV -0.725%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -72.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.83%98.29%98.29%98.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100%100%100%99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Idaho Vandals (Visit)

Prediction 1.71%58.55fair odd
EV +12.72%
Edge +0.193%
Kelly +0.196%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 66.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.49%1.71%1.71%9.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
10.0035.8133.6366.0010%3%3%2%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.00I 100.00%NM 98.51%EV -1.71%E -1.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%66.00I 1.52%NM 1.49%EV +12.72%E +0.193%K +0.196%G +0.025%1.5%2026-07-20 06:25
Unibet (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -1.71%E -1.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV -12.90%E -0.253%K -0.258%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-20 06:35
MyBookie.ag1.00I 100.00%NM 94.20%EV -1.71%E -1.71%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.80%EV -72.25%E -4.45%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 06:40
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -0.725%E -0.718%K -72.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -82.92%E -8.29%K -9.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-20 06:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.