Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Arkansas Razorbacks

2026-09-12 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 79.36%1.26fair odd

EV -3.98%

Edge -3.29%

Kelly -18.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.66%79.35%79.31%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.181.201.201.2184.75%83.59%83.33%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 20.64%4.84fair odd

EV -1.94%

Edge -0.409%

Kelly -0.518%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.17%20.65%20.69%21.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.354.594.604.7522.99%21.80%21.74%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Utah Utes (Local): 79.36%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 20.64%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.75, with an expected value of -1.94%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.98%E -3.29%K -18.95%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.97%E -0.633%K -0.804%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-06 04:30
FanDuel🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.98%E -3.29%K -18.95%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-06 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.77%E -3.98%K -23.86%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.94%E -0.409%K -0.518%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-06 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.77%E -3.98%K -23.86%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-06 09:14
Coolbet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.77%E -3.98%K -23.86%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-06 09:15
Fliff🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.77%E -3.98%K -23.86%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-06 04:35
Bet Right🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.77%E -3.98%K -23.86%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-06 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.57%E -4.68%K -29.30%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -5.04%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-06 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.57%E -4.68%K -29.30%G +0.000%	4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -6.07%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-06 09:15
ReBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.36%E -5.39%K -35.33%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.10%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-06 09:14
LeoVegas🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -6.36%E -5.39%K -35.33%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -10.20%E -2.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-06 09:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%	4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%	1.0%	2026-09-06 12:20
Novig◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 79.43%	4.44I 22.52%NM 20.57%	9.5%	2026-09-06 06:35