Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Arkansas Razorbacks

2026-09-12 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 73.91%1.35fair odd

EV -3.17%

Edge -2.42%

Kelly -10.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

73.05%73.83%73.91%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.241.271.271.3180.65%78.74%78.74%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd

EV -2.17%

Edge -0.580%

Kelly -0.791%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.30%26.17%26.09%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.453.613.633.7528.99%27.68%27.59%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Utah Utes (Local): 73.91%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 26.09%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.17%E -2.42%K -10.24%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -7.39%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-24 10:05
Coolbet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.21%K -19.25%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.48%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-28 19:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.17%E -0.580%K -0.791%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-31 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.48%E -0.940%K -1.29%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-28 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.70%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.78%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-03 14:34
ReBet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.42%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-13 10:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.87%E -5.45%K -26.42%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.70%E -2.48%K -3.48%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-08 15:00
LeoVegas🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -8.35%E -6.73%K -34.78%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-08-12 08:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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