The School of Odds

Utah Utes v Arkansas Razorbacks

2026-09-13 02:15 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 75.08%1.33fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -5.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.05%74.99%74.95%76.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.3181.97%79.68%80.00%76.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.528%
Kelly +0.698%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%25.01%25.05%26.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.553.813.774.1028.17%26.23%26.49%24.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.15%E -4.92%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.17%E +0.528%K +0.698%G +0.015%4.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.90%E -5.56%K -28.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.327%E -0.082%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 15:04
MyBookie.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.90%E -5.56%K -28.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.327%E -0.082%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 15:09
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.65%E -3.66%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.31%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 15:10
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.40%E -4.28%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.56%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 15:15
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.40%E -6.89%K -38.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.56%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 15:05
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -1.64%E -1.25%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -11.54%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 10:05
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.15%E -4.92%K -24.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -11.54%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.