Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.26
assuming max odds 5.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 79.00%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 21.00%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.53%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -7.58%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +15.53%E +2.82%K +3.45%G +0.536% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 02:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +13.43%E +2.49%K +3.05%G +0.410% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -9.95%E -8.72%K -71.04%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV +12.38%E +2.31%K +2.84%G +0.352% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 02:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +10.28%E +1.96%K +2.42%G +0.248% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +8.17%E +1.59%K +1.97%G +0.161% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 02:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +7.12%E +1.40%K +1.74%G +0.124% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +6.07%E +1.20%K +1.50%G +0.091% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +5.02%E +1.00%K +1.26%G +0.063% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 02:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.92%E +0.597%K +0.750%G +0.022% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -8.37%E -7.21%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV +2.29%E +0.471%K +0.593%G +0.014% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -7.58%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +1.87%E +0.386%K +0.487%G +0.009% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.823%E +0.171%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.823%E +0.171%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.823%E +0.171%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 02:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.823%E +0.171%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 02:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.823%E +0.171%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 01:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +0.823%E +0.171%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.61%EV -9.16%E -7.96%K -61.04%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.39%EV +0.403%E +0.084%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 02:33 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -0.227%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 02:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.14%EV -7.58%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 19.86%EV -0.857%E -0.182%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.58%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.28%E -0.272%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.33%E -0.501%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.58%E -6.47%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.38%E -0.734%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.34%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.66%EV -4.01%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 02:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 02:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.63%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.63%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.78%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.78%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.78%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 02:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.78%E -2.80%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 02:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -6.79%E -5.75%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -12.83%E -3.09%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 02:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -2.84%E -2.31%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -13.88%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -4.42%E -3.65%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -13.88%E -3.39%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.05%E -1.65%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.98%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -3.63%E -2.97%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -17.03%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -6.00%E -5.04%K -31.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -17.03%E -4.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -0.466%E -0.370%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -20.18%E -5.31%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -1.26%E -1.00%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -20.18%E -5.31%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.26%E -1.00%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -21.23%E -5.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -1.26%E -1.00%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -24.38%E -6.77%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.26% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.74% | 0.1% | 2026-09-13 02:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 02:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 02:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-13 02:35 |