Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah State Aggies v Washington State Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC

Final: Utah State Aggies 17–16 Washington State Cougars

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah State Aggies (Local)

Prediction 63.63%1.57fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.96%63.72%63.70%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5370.42%66.96%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington State Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 36.37%2.75fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +0.630%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%36.28%36.30%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.462.612.602.7840.65%38.38%38.46%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah State Aggies (Local): 63.63%; Washington State Cougars (Visit): 36.37%. For Washington State Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.19%EV -9.65%E -6.80%K -22.98%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV +1.12%E +0.403%K +0.630%G +0.007%6.4%2026-10-05 15:13
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.06%E -0.390%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 15:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -6.47%E -4.40%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -1.42%E -0.526%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 15:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.93%E -2.60%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.79%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-05 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.93%E -2.60%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.79%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-05 15:10
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.79%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 15:09
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.79%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 15:05
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.93%E -2.60%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -2.88%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.88%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 15:10
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.93%E -2.60%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.61%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.61%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.61%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.61%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.65%E -1.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.29%E -2.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 15:04
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:05
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -5.79%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 15:09
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.93%E -2.60%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 15:04
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 15:05
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 15:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.29%E -2.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 15:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.47%E -4.40%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 15:15
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-05 15:15
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -3.93%E -2.60%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -10.52%E -4.28%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 63.62%2.78I 35.97%NM 36.38%-1.1%2026-10-05 15:10
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-05 15:05
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-10-05 15:10
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-10-05 15:10