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Utah State Aggies v Troy Trojans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah State Aggies (Local)
Prediction 56.71%1.76fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%56.43%56.64%57.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.691.691.7460.98%59.04%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Troy Trojans (Visit)
Prediction 43.29%2.31fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.49%43.57%43.36%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.172.192.2647.85%46.00%45.66%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah State Aggies (Local): 56.71%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 43.29%. For Utah State Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.32%E -0.760%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 15:46 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 15:46 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.46%E -1.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.47%E -1.55%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.46%E -1.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.46%E -1.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -3.02%E -1.77%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -9.53%E -4.56%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.59%E -2.11%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-24 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.16%E -2.46%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.90%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.20%E -2.37%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.17%E -0.959%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 05:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.33%E -1.96%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.29%E -3.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.63%E -2.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.43%E -3.89%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.43%E -3.89%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.43%E -3.89%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.99%E -4.26%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.06%E -2.79%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 23:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-09-26 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.9% | 2026-09-26 23:25 |