Utah State Aggies v Idaho State Bengals

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

90%

10%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Utah State Aggies (Local)

Prediction 90.10%1.11fair odd

EV -4.49%

Edge -4.24%

Kelly -74.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.72%90.10%90.10%91.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.051.061.061.0695.24%94.79%94.79%94.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Idaho State Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 9.90%10.10fair odd

EV +8.91%

Edge +0.810%

Kelly +0.891%

Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.71%9.90%9.90%12.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

7.508.908.5511.0013.33%11.24%11.70%9.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.92%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +8.91%E +0.810%K +0.891%G +0.079%	4.3%	2026-07-27 06:15
MyBookie.ag	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -4.49%E -4.24%K -74.91%G +0.000%	8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -14.85%E -1.73%K -1.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-27 06:15
Unibet (UK)	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.49%E -4.24%K -74.91%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.84%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 06:15
LeoVegas	1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.92%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -25.74%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-27 05:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.