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Utah State Aggies v Idaho State Bengals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah State Aggies (Local)
Prediction 81.20%1.23fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -17.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.72%81.24%81.04%83.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.171.1988.50%85.73%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Idaho State Bengals (Visit)
Prediction 18.80%5.32fair odd
EV +5.26%
Edge +0.939%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%18.76%18.96%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.035.005.6021.74%19.89%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah State Aggies (Local): 81.20%; Idaho State Bengals (Visit): 18.80%. For Idaho State Bengals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -8.24%E -7.29%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV +5.26%E +0.939%K +1.14%G +0.060% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.43%E -6.52%K -53.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.38%E +0.614%K +0.751%G +0.025% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 21:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.380%E -0.072%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.32%E -0.251%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 19:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.26%E -0.435%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 13:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:53 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.14%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -5.08%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.37%E -2.83%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.18%E -3.54%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 06:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.18%E -3.54%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.02%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -6.96%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 20:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.02%EV -6.62%E -5.75%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 18.98%EV -7.71%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.18%E -3.54%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.90%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.78%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -5.80%E -5.00%K -36.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -12.60%E -2.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.99%E -4.27%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -13.54%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 06:37 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 21:00 |