Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah State Aggies v Idaho State Bengals

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah State Aggies (Local)

Prediction 81.25%1.23fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -17.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.03%81.40%81.04%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.64%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Idaho State Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 18.75%5.33fair odd
EV +3.11%
Edge +0.565%
Kelly +0.690%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.60%18.96%19.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.045.005.5021.51%19.84%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Utah State Aggies (Local): 81.25%; Idaho State Bengals (Visit): 18.75%. For Idaho State Bengals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.33. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +3.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.37%E -6.47%K -52.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.11%E +0.565%K +0.690%G +0.021%5.9%2026-09-03 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -0.643%E -0.121%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.58%E -0.301%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 19:34
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.52%E -0.484%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 13:54
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:53
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:55
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.39%E -0.861%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:55
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -5.33%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.31%E -2.78%K -17.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.12%E -3.49%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 06:14
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.12%E -3.49%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 13:55
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.93%E -4.22%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.75%E -4.95%K -35.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 13:55
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.75%E -4.95%K -35.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.27%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -5.75%E -4.95%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -7.20%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 20:30
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.02%EV -6.56%E -5.70%K -43.72%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 18.98%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 20:40
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.12%E -3.49%K -22.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.14%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.75%E -4.95%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.02%E -2.09%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -5.75%E -4.95%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -12.83%E -2.76%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-09-04 14:15
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-09-04 10:29