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USC Trojans v San Jose State Spartans

2026-08-29 19:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 96.85%1.03fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -218.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%96.10%96.85%98.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.86%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 3.15%31.75fair odd
EV +92.15%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +1.42%

assuming max odds 61.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.61%3.90%3.15%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0027.5016.2561.008.33%3.64%6.15%1.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: USC Trojans (Local): 96.85%; San Jose State Spartans (Visit): 3.15%. For San Jose State Spartans (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 31.75. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 61.00, producing a positive expected value of +92.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -3.15%E -3.15%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +92.15%E +1.51%K +1.54%G +1.42%1.6%2026-08-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -3.15%E -3.15%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +76.40%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +1.06%1.8%2026-08-01 00:24
Coolbet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -3.15%E -3.15%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -33.85%E -1.61%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.20%EV -3.15%E -3.15%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.80%EV -48.81%E -3.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 00:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.18%E -2.16%K -218.14%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -55.11%E -3.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.15%E -3.15%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -62.20%E -5.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 21:35
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.15%E -3.15%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -62.20%E -5.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 08:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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