Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans v Oregon Ducks

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

32%

68%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 32.49%3.08fair odd

EV -4.14%

Edge -1.40%

Kelly -2.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.49%32.49%32.49%32.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.952.952.952.9533.90%33.90%33.90%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 67.51%1.48fair odd

EV -4.14%

Edge -2.92%

Kelly -9.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.51%67.51%67.51%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.421.421.4270.42%70.42%70.42%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: USC Trojans (Local): 32.49%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 67.51%. For USC Trojans (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.95, with an expected value of -4.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.86%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-26 15:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.