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USC Trojans v Oregon Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
USC Trojans (Local)
Prediction 38.21%2.62fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.901%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.04%38.31%38.12%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.442.6843.48%40.55%40.98%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oregon Ducks (Visit)
Prediction 61.79%1.62fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.69%61.88%63.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.5866.67%64.85%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 38.21%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 61.79%. For USC Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV +2.42%E +0.901%K +1.44%G +0.035% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -6.70%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-26 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +0.505%E +0.192%K +0.310%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.642%E -0.247%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.642%E -0.247%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.642%E -0.247%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-26 23:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.642%E -0.247%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 20:48 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.93%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 17:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.09%E -4.00%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.09%E -4.00%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -5.61%E -2.27%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -6.09%E -4.00%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.99%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -6.70%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.61%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%EV -8.67%E -3.63%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -9.43%E -3.98%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 0.5% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 23:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 23:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-09-26 23:29 |