Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

USC Trojans v Fresno State Bulldogs

Início: 2026-09-05 01:00 UTC

Final: USC Trojans 39–0 Fresno State Bulldogs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

USC Trojans (Local)

Previsão 92.02%1.09odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -2.32%
Kelly -41.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.50%91.69%91.99%93.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.46%96.15%94.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fresno State Bulldogs (Visitante)

Previsão 7.98%12.53odd justa
EV +11.75%
Vantagem +0.839%
Kelly +0.904%
Crescimento +0.106%

pressupondo odds máximas de 14.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.79%8.31%8.01%11.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.0011.7912.0014.0012.50%8.48%8.33%7.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: USC Trojans (Local): 92.02%; Fresno State Bulldogs (Visitante): 7.98%. Para Fresno State Bulldogs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.53. 19 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 14.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.75%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.14%E -6.02%K -307.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.75%E +0.839%K +0.904%G +0.106%5.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.14%E -6.02%K -307.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.75%E +0.839%K +0.904%G +0.106%5.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.14%E -6.02%K -307.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.75%E +0.839%K +0.904%G +0.106%5.2%2026-09-04 13:55
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.14%E -6.02%K -307.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.75%E +0.839%K +0.904%G +0.106%5.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.14%E -6.02%K -307.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.75%E +0.839%K +0.904%G +0.106%5.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.14%E -6.02%K -307.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.75%E +0.839%K +0.904%G +0.106%5.2%2026-09-04 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.14%E -6.02%K -307.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.75%E +0.839%K +0.904%G +0.106%5.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%2.9%2026-09-04 12:24
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%2.9%2026-09-03 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%3.8%2026-09-02 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%4.8%2026-09-02 21:40
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%4.8%2026-08-30 16:44
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%4.8%2026-08-02 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%4.8%2026-08-02 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.06%E -6.99%K -706.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%6.7%2026-09-04 13:55
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.06%E -6.99%K -706.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.77%E +0.290%K +0.314%G +0.012%6.7%2026-09-04 13:55
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +1.77%E +0.139%K +0.151%G +0.003%4.0%2026-09-03 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +0.257%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +0.257%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 11:15
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.27%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.73%EV -1.82%E -0.148%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:55
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.02%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.63%G +0.000%12.10I 8.26%NM 7.98%EV -3.41%E -0.282%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.21%E -0.351%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.21%E -0.351%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 15:05
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -4.21%E -0.351%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.21%E -0.351%K -0.383%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:30
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.21%E -0.351%K -0.383%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.94%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%11.87I 8.42%NM 8.06%EV -5.25%E -0.442%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 11:53
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.20%E -0.713%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 05:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -10.20%E -0.907%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.34%EV -2.46%E -2.32%K -41.02%G +0.000%11.18I 8.94%NM 8.66%EV -10.76%E -0.962%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.20%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 05:55
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.20%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:27
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.20%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 04:15
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.20%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 04:10
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -16.19%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -18.18%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.18%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:45
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.07%K -174.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.18%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 21:39
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -2.46%E -2.32%K -41.02%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV -22.57%E -2.33%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 04:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.46%E -2.32%K -41.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -24.17%E -2.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 17:30
Betway🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.46%E -2.32%K -41.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -24.17%E -2.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 10:44
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -28.16%E -3.13%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 04:10
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -28.16%E -3.13%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 04:20
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -36.14%E -4.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -4.30%E -4.14%K -107.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -36.14%E -4.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 01:23
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.51%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.49%0.1%2026-09-04 13:39
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-04 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-04 13:05