Language:English
UNLV Rebels v North Dakota State Bison
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UNLV Rebels (Local)
Prediction 43.75%2.29fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%43.80%43.78%45.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.162.152.2548.54%46.22%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
North Dakota State Bison (Visit)
Prediction 56.25%1.78fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.21%56.20%56.22%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.90%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNLV Rebels (Local): 43.75%; North Dakota State Bison (Visit): 56.25%. For UNLV Rebels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 22:47 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.56%E -0.691%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.87%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.50%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 22:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 22:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.74%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.49%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.75%E -4.73%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.69%E -1.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.69%E -1.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.28%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.93%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.82%E -2.23%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.07%E -3.63%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.24%E -3.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.38%E -2.58%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.26%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.75%E -4.73%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.88%E -5.48%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.99%E -4.32%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.57%E -0.896%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -9.87%E -4.79%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.6% | 2026-10-10 22:55 |