Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels v North Dakota State Bison

2026-10-10 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels (Local)

Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.68%39.40%39.07%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.412.402.4842.55%41.49%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Dakota State Bison (Visit)

Prediction 60.80%1.64fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%60.60%60.93%61.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.561.6265.79%64.04%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UNLV Rebels (Local): 39.20%; North Dakota State Bison (Visit): 60.80%. For North Dakota State Bison (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -1.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 19:02
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.57%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 19:05
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.96%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 17:04
betfred_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.96%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 19:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.96%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 19:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.62%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 19:05
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.14%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 19:04
SportsBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -5.53%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -7.58%E -4.99%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.11%E -1.31%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 19:05
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 18:00
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.54%E -2.89%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:05
ReBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -6.37%E -4.13%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.10%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 19:04
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.10%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 19:04
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -7.49%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.50%E -0.928%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 19:04
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-10-04 19:05
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%5.6%2026-10-04 19:05