Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels v Memphis Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 02:19 UTC

Final: UNLV Rebels 21–27 Memphis Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels (Local)

Prediction 63.25%1.58fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.15%63.27%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.511.511.5568.49%66.31%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 36.75%2.72fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.386%
Kelly +0.606%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%36.85%36.73%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.572.552.7540.82%38.94%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNLV Rebels (Local): 63.25%; Memphis Tigers (Visit): 36.75%. For Memphis Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.06%E +0.386%K +0.606%G +0.006%3.9%2026-08-30 02:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.777%E -0.288%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 00:59
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.14%E -0.425%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 02:08
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -1.88%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 01:55
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.61%E -0.986%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 01:28
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.08%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.08%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 02:05
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.59%E -1.68%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 02:05
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:29
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 01:20
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.82%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 00:45
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.82%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 00:45
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -7.65%E -5.24%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -5.19%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 02:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.96%E -1.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 02:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:38
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:40
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.76%E -3.86%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -6.66%E -2.62%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 01:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 16:54
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 00:30
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 00:30
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.49%E -2.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 01:55
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 01:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 02:05
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 01:42
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 19:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.12%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 01:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-30 01:44
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-30 02:15
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-08-30 01:59
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-30 02:10
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%2.3%2026-08-30 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%11.3%2026-08-30 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%11.3%2026-08-30 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.86%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.14%11.3%2026-08-30 02:15