Language:English
UNLV Rebels v California Golden Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UNLV Rebels (Local)
Prediction 51.00%1.96fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.05%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.9155.56%54.03%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
California Golden Bears (Visit)
Prediction 49.00%2.04fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.95%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.952.0053.19%51.39%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNLV Rebels (Local): 51.00%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 49.00%. For California Golden Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.35%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.50%E -1.25%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.09%E -1.63%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.60%E -1.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.40%E -3.91%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.62%E -2.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.13%E -2.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.91%E -3.63%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.89%E -4.19%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 19:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 13:52 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 01:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 19:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 19:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.01%E -1.00%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 01:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 18:10 |