Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels v California Golden Bears

2026-10-03 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNLV Rebels (Local)

Prediction 50.09%2.00fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%50.11%50.00%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.871.881.9154.64%53.33%53.33%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 49.91%2.00fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -5.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%49.89%50.00%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.881.891.9154.05%53.13%52.91%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UNLV Rebels (Local): 50.09%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 49.91%. For UNLV Rebels (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -4.33%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:29
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:35
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 12:39
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.34%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 12:39
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 12:39
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-27 12:30
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-27 12:35
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 12:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%4.1%2026-09-27 10:00
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%6.1%2026-09-27 13:00