The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UMass Minutemen v Stonehill Skyhawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC

Final: UMass Minutemen 36–14 Stonehill Skyhawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UMass Minutemen (Local)

Prediction 97.07%1.03fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -196.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%97.07%97.27%97.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.45%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit)

Prediction 2.93%34.10fair odd
EV +20.23%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +0.506%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 41.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.38%2.93%2.73%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.2530.6934.0041.007.02%3.26%2.94%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UMass Minutemen (Local): 97.07%; Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit): 2.93%. For Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 34.10. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 41.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.93%E -2.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +20.23%E +0.493%K +0.506%G +0.102%2.4%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%EV -1.96%E -1.94%K -196.17%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%EV +5.57%E +0.155%K +0.159%G +0.009%1.8%2026-09-19 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -2.93%E -2.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +5.57%E +0.155%K +0.159%G +0.009%2.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -1.96%E -1.94%K -196.17%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV -0.298%E -0.009%K -0.009%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -1.96%E -1.94%K -196.17%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV -0.298%E -0.009%K -0.009%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 15:02
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -1.96%E -1.94%K -196.17%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV -14.96%E -0.516%K -0.534%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -2.93%E -2.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV -23.76%E -0.914%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -2.93%E -2.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV -23.76%E -0.914%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 14:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.96%E -1.94%K -196.17%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -58.21%E -4.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.01I 99.01%NM 99.15%118.50I 0.84%NM 0.85%-0.1%2026-09-19 19:19
Kalshi◎1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-09-19 17:44
ProphetX◎1.00I 100.00%NM 97.92%47.00I 2.13%NM 2.08%2.1%2026-09-19 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%2.5%2026-09-19 15:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%2.5%2026-09-19 15:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%2.5%2026-09-19 15:34