Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UMass Minutemen v Sacred Heart Pioneers

2026-09-12 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UMass Minutemen (Local)

Prediction 91.13%1.10fair odd

EV -5.23%

Edge -5.03%

Kelly -130.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.73%91.13%90.99%93.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.031.031.0498.04%97.09%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit)

Prediction 8.87%11.27fair odd

EV +22.91%

Edge +1.65%

Kelly +1.78%

Growth +0.408%

assuming max odds 13.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.86%8.87%9.01%10.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.0010.6010.0013.8511.11%9.43%10.00%7.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UMass Minutemen (Local): 91.13%; Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit): 8.87%. For Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.27. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 13.85, producing a positive expected value of +22.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fliff🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.14%EV -7.05%E -6.91%K -352.59%G +0.000%	13.85I 7.22%NM 6.86%EV +22.91%E +1.65%K +1.78%G +0.408%	5.3%	2026-09-07 07:15
FanDuel🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.68%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.37%E +1.18%K +1.28%G +0.197%	4.8%	2026-09-07 04:35
Betr (AU)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.68%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -0.165%E -0.015%K -0.016%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 06:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.23%E -5.03%K -130.73%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -6.82%E -0.650%K -0.718%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-07 05:09
SportsBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.68%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.26%E -1.13%K -1.25%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-07 04:34
ReBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.49%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.68%G +0.000%	9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -13.03%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-07 05:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.68%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -20.13%E -2.24%K -2.52%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-07 05:09
betano_uk🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.68%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -20.13%E -2.24%K -2.52%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-07 05:08
Bet Victor🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.14%E -5.96%K -204.68%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -20.13%E -2.24%K -2.52%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-07 05:08

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%	1.2%	2026-09-07 05:25
Novig◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.76%	13.33I 7.50%NM 7.24%	3.7%	2026-09-07 07:20