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UMass Minutemen v Miami (OH) RedHawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UMass Minutemen (Local)
Prediction 33.89%2.95fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.336%
Kelly +0.506%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.12%33.90%33.96%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.802.9838.46%35.81%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit)
Prediction 66.11%1.51fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%66.10%66.04%67.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.55%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UMass Minutemen (Local): 33.89%; Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit): 66.11%. For UMass Minutemen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +1.00%E +0.336%K +0.506%G +0.005% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 15:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.71%E -0.589%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.48%E -2.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.48%E -2.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.40%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.08%E -1.44%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.82%E -1.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 17:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 17:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.45%E -5.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.10%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.10%E -7.42%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.21%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.79%E -4.82%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -1.50%E -1.01%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.79%E -2.47%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.47%E -3.82%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.37%EV -7.47%E -2.74%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.82%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 17:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.48%E -2.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.49%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.18%E -3.84%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.81%E -3.34%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -11.20%E -4.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.15%E -2.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.88%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.88%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.16%E -1.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.88%E -4.57%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.13%E -4.32%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 1.8% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-10-10 18:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 17:59 |