Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UMass Minutemen v Eastern Michigan Eagles

2026-10-03 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UMass Minutemen (Local)

Prediction 62.48%1.60fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.19%63.00%62.49%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.521.5771.43%66.67%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 37.52%2.67fair odd
EV +3.18%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%37.00%37.51%38.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.512.7541.67%39.16%39.84%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UMass Minutemen (Local): 62.48%; Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit): 37.52%. For Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.75, producing a positive expected value of +3.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.03%E -6.96%K -22.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +3.18%E +1.16%K +1.82%G +0.058%5.8%2026-09-27 19:14
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -11.28%E -7.94%K -26.85%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV +2.43%E +0.890%K +1.40%G +0.034%7.1%2026-09-27 19:14
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -11.28%E -7.94%K -26.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +1.30%E +0.483%K +0.767%G +0.010%7.5%2026-09-27 19:14
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -12.53%E -8.95%K -31.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +1.30%E +0.483%K +0.767%G +0.010%8.5%2026-09-27 19:13
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -12.53%E -8.95%K -31.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +1.30%E +0.483%K +0.767%G +0.010%8.5%2026-09-27 19:17
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.45%E -0.941%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 19:19
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.66%E -3.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.45%E -0.941%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 19:20
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.78%E -2.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 19:44
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -5.82%E -2.32%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.78%E -2.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.20%E -2.48%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.53%E -1.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -7.70%E -3.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.16%E -2.04%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 19:30
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.16%E -2.04%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.08%E -3.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -5.03%E -3.31%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -9.58%E -3.97%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.19%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 19:30
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.28%E -4.19%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.95%E -4.15%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 19:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-09-27 19:20
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-09-27 19:45
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%5.8%2026-09-27 19:25
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.90%9.8%2026-09-27 19:40