Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UL Monroe Warhawks v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 00:02 UTC

Final: UL Monroe Warhawks 0–24 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UL Monroe Warhawks (Local)

Prediction 18.97%5.27fair odd
EV +10.04%
Edge +1.73%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.210%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.31%19.02%18.96%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.115.005.8023.81%19.58%20.00%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 81.03%1.23fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -13.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%80.98%81.04%83.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.171.2088.50%85.77%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UL Monroe Warhawks (Local): 18.97%; Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit): 81.03%. For UL Monroe Warhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 19:15
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 19:13
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 19:15
betPARX🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 19:14
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 19:15
Bally Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -8.44%E -7.47%K -64.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 19:15
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV +10.04%E +1.73%K +2.09%G +0.210%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -8.44%E -7.47%K -64.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +9.09%E +1.58%K +1.91%G +0.174%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 19:15
Everygame🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +2.45%E +0.454%K +0.557%G +0.014%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 18:30
BetAnything🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV +1.50%E +0.281%K +0.346%G +0.005%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 23:10
Pinnacle🎯5.33I 18.76%NM 18.13%EV +1.12%E +0.211%K +0.260%G +0.003%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.87%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 23:50
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.394%E -0.075%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 21:15
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.394%E -0.075%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 18:25
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.394%E -0.075%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 23:04
GTbets🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.394%E -0.075%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 23:05
Fliff🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.394%E -0.075%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -2.29%E -0.445%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -2.29%E -0.445%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 23:30
Bovada🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.24%E -0.635%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 23:39
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 23:30
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 23:04
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 23:50
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 21:15
Coolbet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 23:54
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.44%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 23:20
NordicBet🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.37%EV -7.60%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.98%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 23:35
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 21:15
betfred_uk🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 23:40
picklebet_au🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 23:30
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 23:40
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.88%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.88%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 18:20
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -11.78%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 21:10
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 18:24
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 23:30
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -7.63%E -6.69%K -54.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 21:15
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.32%E -4.84%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 23:50
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.32%E -4.84%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%0.5%2026-10-17 23:05
Matchbook◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-10-17 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-10-17 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-10-17 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-10-17 23:30
ProphetX◎5.95I 16.81%NM 16.67%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.33%0.8%2026-10-17 23:30
Polymarket◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-10-17 23:04
Kalshi◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%1.8%2026-10-17 19:10
BetOpenly◎6.02I 16.61%NM 16.04%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.96%3.6%2026-10-17 23:50