Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UL Monroe Warhawks v Florida Atlantic Owls

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UL Monroe Warhawks (Local)

Prediction 17.82%5.61fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%17.79%17.82%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.215.255.5020.41%19.18%19.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit)

Prediction 82.18%1.22fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -22.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.13%82.21%82.18%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.151.151.1787.72%86.68%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UL Monroe Warhawks (Local): 17.82%; Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit): 82.18%. For UL Monroe Warhawks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.50, with an expected value of -1.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.99%E -0.362%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.49%E -4.78%K -36.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 11:54
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -3.77%E -0.699%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.67%E -4.03%K -29.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Coolbet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.56%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.67%E -4.03%K -29.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.45%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.85%E -3.29%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 11:54
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.45%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.67%E -4.03%K -29.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.45%E -1.23%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.49%E -4.78%K -36.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.34%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.67%E -4.03%K -29.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 11:54
SportsBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.34%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.31%E -5.54%K -45.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 11:49
MyBookie.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -9.12%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.49%E -4.78%K -36.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:59
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.90%E -2.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.49%E -4.78%K -36.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 11:49
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -12.68%E -2.59%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -6.31%E -5.54%K -45.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-09-20 12:09
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 36.90%1.00I 100.00%NM 63.10%58.5%2026-09-20 12:13