The School of College Oddsodds.college
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UConn Huskies v UMass Minutemen

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 23:03 UTC

Final: UConn Huskies 35–16 UMass Minutemen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UConn Huskies (Local)

Prediction 80.12%1.25fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -19.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.30%80.04%80.10%81.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.191.2087.72%84.30%84.03%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMass Minutemen (Visit)

Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +0.388%
Kelly +0.482%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 5.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.79%19.96%19.90%21.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.714.705.1323.09%21.21%21.28%19.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 80.12%; UMass Minutemen (Visit): 19.88%. For UMass Minutemen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.17%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.83%EV +1.99%E +0.388%K +0.482%G +0.010%3.5%2026-10-23 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.39%E +0.273%K +0.340%G +0.005%4.4%2026-10-23 22:31
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.594%E -0.119%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 22:04
Everygame🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.594%E -0.119%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 20:23
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.594%E -0.119%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.58%E -0.527%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.58%E -0.527%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.58%E -0.527%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 20:10
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.58%E -0.527%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 23:00
Caesars🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.58%E -0.527%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-23 22:29
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.58%E -0.527%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 19:44
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.93%EV -4.17%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.57%E -0.952%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.90%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.10%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 22:36
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 22:55
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.56%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 19:44
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:44
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:43
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.66%E -3.91%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 19:45
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 19:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.56%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 22:45
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.76%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -7.55%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.55%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.55%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 22:55
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 19:45
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.46%E -4.63%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 23:00
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.66%E -7.60%K -61.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.53%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-23 20:34
picklebet_au🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -11.53%E -2.59%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 22:59
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.52%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -12.52%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-23 23:00
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.26%E -5.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -12.52%E -2.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-23 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.86%E -3.21%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.91%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.87%EV -7.06%E -6.09%K -44.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -13.91%E -3.21%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.23I 81.30%NM 81.02%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.98%0.3%2026-10-23 23:00
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%0.8%2026-10-23 22:44
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.2%2026-10-23 22:55
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-10-23 23:00
Polymarket◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-10-23 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-10-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-10-23 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-10-23 22:55
BetOpenly◎1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-10-23 22:59