Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UConn Huskies v North Carolina Tar Heels

2026-11-07 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

31%

69%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UConn Huskies (Local)

Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd

EV -3.87%

Edge -1.23%

Kelly -1.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.89%30.51%30.48%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.903.083.103.1534.48%32.50%32.26%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 69.48%1.44fair odd

EV -4.11%

Edge -2.98%

Kelly -10.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.81%69.49%69.52%70.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.361.361.3876.92%73.75%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UConn Huskies (Local): 30.52%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 69.48%. For UConn Huskies (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -3.87%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 12:25
Fanatics🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 12:29
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.20%E -4.59%K -17.71%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 12:24
SportsBet🎯	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -22.99%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-01 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-01 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-01 13:10
betPARX🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-01 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.81%E -3.51%K -13.00%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 12:19
Bet Right🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.81%E -3.51%K -13.00%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-01 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 13:10
BetRivers🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 13:10
Unibet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 13:09
ReBet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.89%E -5.14%K -20.27%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-01 12:20
Coolbet🎯	3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.31%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.11%E -2.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.92%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-01 12:30
William Hill🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.50%E -4.05%K -15.29%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-01 12:19
betfred_uk🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.20%E -4.59%K -17.71%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-01 12:10
LeoVegas🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.28%E -6.27%K -25.88%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-01 12:25
Paddy Power🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.22%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.67%E -7.44%K -32.24%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-11-01 12:20
picklebet_au🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -9.67%E -7.44%K -32.24%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-01 12:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%	1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%	0.9%	2026-11-01 12:25
Polymarket◎	3.03I 33.00%NM 30.50%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.50%	8.2%	2026-11-01 12:20
ProphetX◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 28.57%	1.00I 100.00%NM 71.43%	40.0%	2026-11-01 10:30
Novig◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 57.68%	1.39I 71.94%NM 42.32%	70.0%	2026-11-01 13:10