The School of Odds

UConn Huskies v Lafayette Leopards

2026-09-05 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

UConn Huskies (Local)

Prediction 90.79%1.10fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -4.45%
Kelly -93.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.72%90.79%90.79%92.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.041.051.051.0596.15%95.47%95.24%95.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lafayette Leopards (Visit)

Prediction 9.21%10.86fair odd
EV +10.54%
Edge +0.878%
Kelly +0.958%
Growth +0.101%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.98%9.21%9.21%12.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
7.509.389.0012.0013.33%10.67%11.11%8.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.58%E -5.37%K -139.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +10.54%E +0.878%K +0.958%G +0.101%4.5%2026-07-27 05:50
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.10%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 05:50
MyBookie.ag1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.10%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 05:50
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -4.67%E -4.45%K -93.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -30.91%E -4.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.