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UConn Huskies v Lafayette Leopards
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UConn Huskies (Local)
Prediction 89.24%1.12fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -45.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.62%89.28%89.37%90.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.061.0896.15%94.09%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lafayette Leopards (Visit)
Prediction 10.76%9.30fair odd
EV +7.56%
Edge +0.756%
Kelly +0.840%
Growth +0.063%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.51%10.72%10.63%12.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.949.0010.0013.33%11.19%11.11%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 89.24%; Lafayette Leopards (Visit): 10.76%. For Lafayette Leopards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.30. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +7.56%E +0.756%K +0.840%G +0.063% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +7.56%E +0.756%K +0.840%G +0.063% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +7.56%E +0.756%K +0.840%G +0.063% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +7.56%E +0.756%K +0.840%G +0.063% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +7.56%E +0.756%K +0.840%G +0.063% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +7.56%E +0.756%K +0.840%G +0.063% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.49%EV -7.19%E -6.91%K -179.65%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.51%EV +6.48%E +0.655%K +0.728%G +0.047% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.51%E -4.21%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +2.18%E +0.230%K +0.257%G +0.006% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.29%E -5.99%K -125.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +2.18%E +0.230%K +0.257%G +0.006% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.29%E -5.99%K -125.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +2.18%E +0.230%K +0.257%G +0.006% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV +1.64%E +0.174%K +0.194%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -3.62%E -3.35%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV -0.509%E -0.055%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.51%E -4.21%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -2.12%E -0.233%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.51%E -4.21%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.20%E -0.355%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.51%E -4.21%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -3.20%E -0.355%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -3.20%E -0.355%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 13:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.51%E -4.21%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -6.42%E -0.738%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.51%E -4.21%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.58%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.51%E -4.21%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.58%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.51%E -4.21%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.58%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 16:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.58%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -8.90%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 03:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -8.90%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 00:07 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.95%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 04:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.17%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.83%EV -15.03%E -1.90%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 04:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -16.64%E -2.15%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -3.62%E -3.35%K -45.20%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -17.18%E -2.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.33%E -2.58%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.40%E -5.10%K -90.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -19.33%E -2.58%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 01:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.51% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.49% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |