Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins v Purdue Boilermakers

2026-09-20 03:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCLA Bruins (Local)

Prediction 82.71%1.21fair odd

EV -4.89%

Edge -4.25%

Kelly -32.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.43%82.60%82.71%82.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.151.151.1587.72%87.15%86.96%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)

Prediction 17.29%5.78fair odd

EV -3.16%

Edge -0.564%

Kelly -0.686%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.04%17.40%17.29%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.375.505.6020.00%18.62%18.18%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UCLA Bruins (Local): 82.71%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 17.29%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.60, with an expected value of -3.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.16%E -0.564%K -0.686%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 14:05
Fliff🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -4.02%E -0.725%K -0.884%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 14:05
Coolbet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.89%E -0.889%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 14:10
Bet Right🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.89%E -0.889%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 14:10
betfred_uk🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.89%E -0.889%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.89%E -0.889%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.89%E -0.889%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 14:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.21%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.89%E -4.25%K -32.58%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.21%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-13 14:04
SportsBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.82%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-13 13:49
ReBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.82%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.80%E -2.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-13 14:25
LeoVegas🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.71%E -5.01%K -40.82%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-13 14:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%	5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%	2.0%	2026-09-13 14:55
Novig◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 82.70%	5.26I 19.01%NM 17.30%	9.9%	2026-09-13 14:55