Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 8.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 83.13%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 16.87%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.93. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +43.36%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -11.05%E -10.32%K -157.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +43.36%E +5.10%K +5.78%G +2.51% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -11.05%E -10.32%K -157.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +43.36%E +5.10%K +5.78%G +2.51% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -11.05%E -10.32%K -157.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +43.36%E +5.10%K +5.78%G +2.51% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -11.05%E -10.32%K -157.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +43.36%E +5.10%K +5.78%G +2.51% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -11.05%E -10.32%K -157.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +34.93%E +4.37%K +4.99%G +1.74% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -11.88%E -11.21%K -197.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +34.93%E +4.37%K +4.99%G +1.74% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -8.55%E -7.78%K -85.53%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +19.75%E +2.78%K +3.24%G +0.639% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -9.38%E -8.61%K -104.27%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV +11.32%E +1.71%K +2.02%G +0.229% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.72%E -6.96%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +7.94%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.117% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.06%E -5.36%K -46.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.20%E +0.200%K +0.240%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.02%E -0.525%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.02%E -0.525%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.02%E -0.525%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 02:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.80%EV -7.72%E -6.96%K -70.20%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.20%EV -3.19%E -0.555%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.40%E -3.82%K -29.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.86%E -0.678%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.89%E -6.15%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -3.86%E -0.678%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -4.71%E -0.833%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -5.38%E -0.959%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -5.38%E -0.959%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.06%E -5.36%K -46.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.55%E -0.991%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -6.89%E -6.15%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.55%E -0.991%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -6.39%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 02:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -7.24%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 02:27 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.40%E -3.82%K -29.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.24%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 02:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.40%E -3.82%K -29.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.24%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.24%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 03:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.24%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.24%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.40%E -3.82%K -29.31%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -8.08%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 03:02 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.06%E -5.36%K -46.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.92%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -11.45%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.40%E -3.82%K -29.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -11.45%E -2.18%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 02:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -12.30%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 02:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -12.30%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 02:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.56%E -3.07%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -12.30%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 02:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -12.30%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.02%EV -1.07%E -0.900%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.98%EV -14.32%E -2.82%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -1.90%E -1.61%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -15.67%E -3.13%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -15.67%E -3.13%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 02:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -15.67%E -3.13%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 02:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -1.90%E -1.61%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -17.36%E -3.54%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.23%E -4.59%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -19.04%E -3.97%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 03:03 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -1.90%E -1.61%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -19.89%E -4.19%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 01:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -1.90%E -1.61%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -22.42%E -4.87%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 02:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -1.90%E -1.61%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -22.42%E -4.87%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 01:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV +3.92%E +3.13%K +15.67%G +0.614% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -31.69%E -7.83%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 03:03 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 02:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 02:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 03:04 |