Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.14
assuming max odds 7.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 85.52%; Michigan State Spartans (Visit): 14.48%. For Michigan State Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.91. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.38%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV +14.40%E +1.82%K +2.09%G +0.300% | 4.4% | 2026-10-24 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.32%EV -9.35%E -8.82%K -155.83%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV +5.71%E +0.782%K +0.906%G +0.052% | 8.0% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +1.36%E +0.195%K +0.227%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -1.53%E -0.225%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -3.36%E -2.98%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -2.26%E -0.334%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.26%E -0.334%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.26%E -0.334%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.31%EV -2.51%E -2.20%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.69%EV -4.14%E -0.625%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.28%E -0.648%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-24 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.28%E -0.648%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-24 13:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.40%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.60%EV -5.15%E -0.786%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.88%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.88%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.88%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 13:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.88%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.88%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 19:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.88%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.88%E -0.904%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 19:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.54%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.38%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -6.60%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.32%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.31%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 6.39I 15.65%NM 14.69%EV -7.47%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.50%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.50%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.50%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.50%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.50%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.22%E -3.77%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.50%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 13:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.50%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-24 13:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.12%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.12%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.12%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.12%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.93%E -5.39%K -59.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.12%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 19:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.78%E -6.22%K -75.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -13.12%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-24 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.64%E -7.07%K -95.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.12%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-24 13:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.36%E -2.98%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.74%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -16.74%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.07%E -4.57%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -16.74%E -2.91%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.51%E -2.20%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.36%E -3.70%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 12:06 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 19:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.78% | 8.12I 12.32%NM 12.22% | 0.8% | 2026-10-24 19:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 51.09% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 48.91% | 74.8% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 51.09% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 48.91% | 74.8% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 51.09% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 48.91% | 74.8% | 2026-10-24 19:35 |