Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights v BYU Cougars

2026-10-24 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 24.66%4.05fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -0.873%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.33%24.66%24.66%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.853.853.9526.67%25.97%25.97%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BYU Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 75.34%1.33fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -16.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%75.34%75.34%75.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.261.261.2780.00%79.37%79.37%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: UCF Knights (Local): 24.66%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 75.34%. For UCF Knights (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.95, with an expected value of -2.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.57%E -0.652%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.32%E -3.40%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.83%E -4.66%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-14 22:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 30.67%1.23I 81.30%NM 69.33%17.3%2026-10-15 01:10