Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights v Bethune-Cookman Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 23:02 UTC

Final: UCF Knights 73–6 Bethune-Cookman Wildcats

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

96%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UCF Knights (Local)

Prediction 95.88%1.04fair odd

EV -3.16%

Edge -3.13%

Kelly -316.21%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

92.31%95.88%95.88%99.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.83%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 4.12%24.27fair odd

EV +645.88%

Edge +3.57%

Kelly +3.59%

Growth +23.18%

assuming max odds 181.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

0.55%4.12%4.12%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

12.0046.1715.50181.008.33%2.17%6.45%0.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCF Knights (Local): 95.88%; Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (Visit): 4.12%. For Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 24.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 181.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +645.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.45%EV -4.12%E -4.12%K +0.000%G +0.000%	181.00I 0.55%NM 0.55%EV +645.88%E +3.57%K +3.59%G +23.18%	0.6%	2026-09-01 20:44
William Hill🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.12%E -4.12%K +0.000%G +0.000%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +68.96%E +1.68%K +1.72%G +1.19%	2.4%	2026-08-30 02:19
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 94.37%EV -4.12%E -4.12%K +0.000%G +0.000%	16.75I 5.97%NM 5.63%EV -30.98%E -1.85%K -1.97%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-03 12:34
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.16%E -3.13%K -316.21%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -41.28%E -2.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-29 05:44
Bet Victor🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.12%E -4.12%K +0.000%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -50.55%E -4.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-31 00:01
betano_uk🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.12%E -4.12%K +0.000%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -50.55%E -4.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-31 00:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%	100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%	1.0%	2026-08-28 18:15