The School of College Oddsodds.college
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UAB Blazers v Samford Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC

Final: UAB Blazers 33–14 Samford Bulldogs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 95.28%1.05fair odd
EV -0.904%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -22.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.17%95.27%95.33%96.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.60%99.01%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samford Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 4.72%21.21fair odd
EV +46.17%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.711%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.13%4.73%4.67%7.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0019.1218.0031.008.33%5.23%5.56%3.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 95.28%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 4.72%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 21.21. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 31.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +46.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.72%E -4.72%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +46.17%E +1.49%K +1.54%G +0.711%3.2%2026-10-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.76%E -3.73%K -376.24%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +22.60%E +0.869%K +0.904%G +0.204%2.9%2026-10-03 19:10
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.76%E -3.73%K -376.24%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +22.60%E +0.869%K +0.904%G +0.204%2.9%2026-10-03 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.76%E -3.73%K -376.24%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +22.60%E +0.869%K +0.904%G +0.204%2.9%2026-10-03 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -2.81%E -2.75%K -140.48%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +8.45%E +0.367%K +0.384%G +0.032%2.4%2026-10-03 19:05
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.76%E -3.73%K -376.24%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +8.45%E +0.367%K +0.384%G +0.032%3.4%2026-10-03 12:51
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -2.81%E -2.75%K -140.48%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -10.41%E -0.548%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-03 19:25
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.72%E -4.72%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -10.41%E -0.548%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.72%E -4.72%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -10.41%E -0.548%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 13:31
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -2.81%E -2.75%K -140.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -15.13%E -0.840%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-03 13:24
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -2.81%E -2.75%K -140.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -15.13%E -0.840%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-03 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.76%E -3.73%K -376.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -15.13%E -0.840%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 22:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -0.904%E -0.869%K -22.60%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV -29.27%E -1.95%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.76%E -3.73%K -376.24%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -29.27%E -1.95%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 12:51
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.76%E -3.73%K -376.24%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -32.81%E -2.30%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 12:24
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.81%E -2.75%K -140.48%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -33.99%E -2.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.76%E -3.73%K -376.24%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -33.99%E -2.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-02 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -1.86%E -1.80%K -61.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -38.70%E -2.98%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 13:25
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -2.81%E -2.75%K -140.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -43.42%E -3.62%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-10-03 19:04
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.22%35.71I 2.80%NM 2.78%0.8%2026-10-03 19:25
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-09-30 04:15
ProphetX◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.00%33.00I 3.03%NM 3.00%1.1%2026-10-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%1.8%2026-10-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%1.8%2026-10-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%1.8%2026-10-03 18:45