Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers v Navy Midshipmen

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 23:05 UTC

Final: UAB Blazers 24–20 Navy Midshipmen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 31.88%3.14fair odd
EV +2.02%
Edge +0.632%
Kelly +0.919%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.13%31.93%31.82%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.983.003.2035.09%33.54%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Navy Midshipmen (Visit)

Prediction 68.12%1.47fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%68.07%68.18%69.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.401.4373.53%71.80%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 31.88%; Navy Midshipmen (Visit): 68.12%. For UAB Blazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +2.02%E +0.632%K +0.919%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-25 18:47
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -1.17%E -0.376%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.95%E -2.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-25 22:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.17%E -0.376%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-25 22:09
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.17%E -0.376%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-25 21:34
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.17%E -0.376%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-25 17:25
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.17%E -0.376%K -0.556%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-25 21:30
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.76%E -0.905%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 20:50
GTbets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.76%E -0.905%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.32%E -3.82%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 21:30
ReBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.95%E -2.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.95%E -2.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-25 21:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.95%E -2.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-25 21:35
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.59%E -1.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-25 22:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 20:40
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-25 21:37
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.32%E -3.82%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 22:54
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:45
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:45
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:44
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 22:44
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.36%E -5.41%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-24 19:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 20:43
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.68%E -4.87%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.27%E -2.30%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 22:00
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-25 20:40
Coolbet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 22:55
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.27%E -2.30%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.27%E -2.30%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 22:55
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.27%E -2.30%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 22:55
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.27%E -2.30%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 22:54
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.95%E -2.80%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 22:55
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.36%E -5.41%K -20.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 22:50
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.36%E -5.41%K -20.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 22:49
NordicBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -7.86%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -5.32%E -3.82%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 22:54
SportsBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -7.86%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -6.00%E -4.35%K -15.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-25 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -8.50%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.36%E -5.41%K -20.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 22:55
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -8.50%E -2.96%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -7.36%E -5.41%K -20.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.63%E -3.31%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-09-25 22:55
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-09-25 10:20
Novig◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-09-25 22:45
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-25 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-25 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-25 22:50
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-25 22:50