Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 35.89%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 64.11%. For UAB Blazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.96%E -6.31%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +2.28%E +0.801%K +1.23%G +0.028% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.96%E -6.31%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -0.947%E -0.343%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-15 23:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.31%E -0.475%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.47%E -3.00%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-15 23:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.31%E -0.475%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-15 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.31%E -0.475%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-15 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.38%E -0.876%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-15 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.38%E -0.876%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.76%E -3.92%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 23:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 20:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-15 20:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -4.47%E -3.00%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-15 20:13 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -3.82%E -1.42%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.40%E -4.38%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.18%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 21:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.91%E -1.25%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-15 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.91%E -1.25%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-15 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-15 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.89%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.68%E -5.33%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.25%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.19%E -2.11%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-15 20:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.97%E -2.28%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.68%E -5.33%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-15 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.47%E -3.00%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 20:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -7.05%E -2.72%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-15 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.04%E -4.85%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 23:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.04%E -4.85%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.48%E -3.33%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.96%E -6.31%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -9.56%E -3.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -3.83%E -2.56%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.68%E -5.33%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.68%E -5.33%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-15 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.24%E -7.32%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-15 22:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 23:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 15:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 1.2% | 2026-10-15 23:25 |