Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane v North Texas Mean Green

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 01:07 UTC

Final: Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44–45 North Texas Mean Green

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local)

Prediction 43.07%2.32fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +2.41%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%42.84%43.15%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.4047.62%45.17%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Texas Mean Green (Visit)

Prediction 56.93%1.76fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%57.16%56.85%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.671.7263.69%60.11%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local): 43.07%; North Texas Mean Green (Visit): 56.93%. For Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.37%E +1.41%K +2.41%G +0.081%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.62%E -6.77%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 00:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +1.65%E +0.700%K +1.21%G +0.020%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -6.64%E -4.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-02 00:55
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.22%E +0.520%K +0.905%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-02 01:05
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV +0.790%E +0.338%K +0.590%G +0.005%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-02 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.071%E -0.031%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-02 00:55
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.933%E -0.405%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.78%E -4.80%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 00:59
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.79%E -0.787%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.21%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 01:00
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-02 00:59
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-02 01:00
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-01 22:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.21%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 00:59
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.35%E -5.18%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 01:00
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.52%E -1.57%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 01:04
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.09%E -1.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-01 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-02 00:14
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-02 00:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-02 00:14
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-02 00:14
Coolbet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -4.81%E -2.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.78%E -4.80%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 01:05
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.65%E -1.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-02 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 01:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 00:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 00:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 00:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 00:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 00:55
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 01:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.78%E -4.80%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 01:05
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 01:05
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.10%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 01:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.09%E -1.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-02 01:05
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.22%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 00:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.22%E -1.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 21:04
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 22:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-02 01:04
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 00:45
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 00:48
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.35%E -5.18%K -13.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-02 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.39%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.35%E -5.18%K -13.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-02 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -8.69%E -4.10%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 00:38
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.36%E -2.60%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 01:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%0.1%2026-10-02 00:55
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-10-02 01:04
ProphetX◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-10-02 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-10-02 01:05
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-10-02 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-10-02 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-10-02 01:04