Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 23:06 UTC

Final: Tulane Green Wave 24–21 Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 87.47%1.14fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -26.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.41%87.37%87.44%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.091.1195.24%92.44%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 12.53%7.98fair odd
EV +12.79%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.205%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.45%12.63%12.56%14.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.817.759.0015.38%12.80%12.90%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 87.47%; Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit): 12.53%. For Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.98. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%5.5%2026-09-25 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%5.5%2026-09-25 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%5.5%2026-09-25 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%5.5%2026-09-25 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%5.5%2026-09-25 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%5.5%2026-09-25 08:44
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%5.5%2026-09-25 08:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -8.16%E -7.77%K -163.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%6.3%2026-09-25 08:45
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -8.16%E -7.77%K -163.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205%6.3%2026-09-25 08:45
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +3.39%E +0.411%K +0.468%G +0.016%4.7%2026-09-26 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +1.51%E +0.187%K +0.213%G +0.003%4.1%2026-09-26 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.43%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.57%EV +1.51%E +0.187%K +0.213%G +0.003%6.7%2026-09-26 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +1.39%E +0.172%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.1%2026-09-25 11:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +1.39%E +0.172%K +0.196%G +0.003%4.1%2026-09-25 11:39
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-26 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 22:20
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 11:40
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.71%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.29%EV -1.62%E -0.206%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-26 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -2.24%E -0.288%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -2.87%E -0.371%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -2.87%E -0.371%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 21:50
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -2.87%E -0.371%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 21:50
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 22:34
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 22:49
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 22:50
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 21:40
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.41%E -5.99%K -91.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-26 21:50
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -6.63%E -0.890%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -11.02%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -14.78%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.40%E -2.28%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -18.54%E -2.85%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.54%E -2.85%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -18.54%E -2.85%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 22:48
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.54%E -2.85%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.89%9.87I 10.13%NM 10.11%0.2%2026-09-26 22:55
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-09-26 23:00
Kalshi◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-09-24 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-09-26 23:00
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-09-26 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-09-26 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-09-26 23:00
ProphetX◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.85%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.15%1.6%2026-09-26 22:55