Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v South Alabama Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:05 UTC

Final: Tulane Green Wave 28–24 South Alabama Jaguars

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 75.43%1.33fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -6.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%75.32%75.34%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.271.3081.97%79.06%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV +3.19%
Edge +0.760%
Kelly +0.997%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.68%24.66%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.823.854.2030.30%26.19%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 75.43%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 24.57%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.47%E -5.21%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +3.19%E +0.760%K +0.997%G +0.032%4.5%2026-09-12 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.47%E -5.21%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.96%E +0.473%K +0.623%G +0.012%4.7%2026-09-12 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV +0.489%E +0.120%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-12 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.71%E -4.57%K -22.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.72%E -0.431%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 22:58
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.71%E -4.57%K -22.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.72%E -0.431%K -0.574%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:35
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.97%E -6.54%K -36.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.72%E -0.431%K -0.574%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 22:57
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -2.46%E -0.619%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 16:15
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.95%E -0.747%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 21:40
Everygame🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.95%E -0.747%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:18
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.95%E -0.747%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 14:53
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.47%E -5.21%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -2.95%E -0.747%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 23:00
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.18%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.18%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 14:54
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.18%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.42%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -4.42%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.78%EV -6.47%E -5.21%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.22%EV -4.67%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 20:30
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.47%E -5.21%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.41%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.69%E -2.09%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 21:39
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.20%E -3.31%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 22:00
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 18:05
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.71%E -4.57%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 23:00
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.47%E -5.21%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.64%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.96%E -3.93%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.71%E -4.57%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.09%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 22:10
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 22:10
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.45%E -2.69%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.55%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 20:45
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.69%E -2.09%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.01%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.94%E -1.49%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -2.69%E -2.09%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.94%E -1.49%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.92%E -5.73%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04%-0.3%2026-09-12 19:30
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44%0.3%2026-09-12 22:13
ProphetX◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.15%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.85%1.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-12 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-12 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-12 20:30
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-09-12 20:30