Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v Memphis Tigers

2026-10-16 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%29.64%29.42%32.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.133.183.3033.90%31.98%31.45%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 70.65%1.42fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.82%70.36%70.58%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.351.4076.92%73.51%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 29.35%; Memphis Tigers (Visit): 70.65%. For Memphis Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.40, with an expected value of -1.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.15%E -0.956%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.62%E -3.42%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 13:34
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.15%E -0.956%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.33%E -3.97%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 13:39
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.15%E -0.956%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.03%E -4.54%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 13:39
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.91%E -2.88%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 13:29
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.91%E -2.88%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.62%E -3.42%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 13:34
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.33%E -3.97%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:39
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.03%E -4.54%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.03%E -4.54%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 13:29
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.62%E -3.42%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.33%E -3.97%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 13:40
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.09%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.03%E -4.54%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 13:29
NordicBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -6.68%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -6.03%E -4.54%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 13:39
ReBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.68%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.74%E -5.10%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 13:29
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -7.44%E -5.68%K -24.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:33
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.15%E -6.27%K -27.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.96%E -3.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.96%E -3.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 12:19
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.96%E -3.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 12:19
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.96%E -3.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 12:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.96%E -3.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-11 13:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -13.43%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -13.43%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 12:19
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -13.43%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -13.43%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 12:19
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -13.43%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.09%E -0.776%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.0%2026-10-11 13:29
Polymarket◎3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%5.0%2026-10-11 13:59
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 31.74%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.26%10.2%2026-10-11 13:34