Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v Memphis Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 23:37 UTC

Final: Tulane Green Wave 31–17 Memphis Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 30.98%3.23fair odd
EV +0.701%
Edge +0.216%
Kelly +0.311%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.49%31.04%31.00%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.77%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 69.02%1.45fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%68.96%69.00%70.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4376.92%72.63%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 30.98%; Memphis Tigers (Visit): 69.02%. For Tulane Green Wave (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.701%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.701%E +0.216%K +0.311%G +0.002%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 23:25
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -0.849%E -0.265%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 20:23
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -0.849%E -0.265%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 20:20
SportsBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -1.47%E -0.462%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -8.21%E -6.17%K -24.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-16 23:24
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.40%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.07%E -2.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 23:15
Caesars🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.40%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.40%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.40%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 23:14
ReBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.07%E -2.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-16 22:54
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 23:15
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 23:20
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-16 19:40
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.07%E -2.93%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 22:35
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 20:25
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 20:20
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -3.95%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -10.28%E -7.91%K -34.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-16 23:25
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -4.26%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.67%EV -2.69%E -1.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-16 23:25
Coolbet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.19%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:34
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:34
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:35
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 22:35
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 22:55
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 22:35
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 22:35
NordicBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.98%EV -6.12%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.02%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 22:55
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 20:25
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 23:14
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 23:25
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.05%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 23:15
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.90%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 23:20
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 23:24
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -10.76%E -3.74%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-16 22:55
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -11.69%E -4.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.31%E -0.915%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 22:20
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.24%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 23:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%0.4%2026-10-16 22:53
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-10-16 23:25
Polymarket◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-10-16 23:05
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-10-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-10-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-10-16 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-10-16 23:25
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%1.9%2026-10-16 22:45
BetOpenly◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%4.7%2026-10-16 23:15