Language:English
Troy Trojans v Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Troy Trojans (Local)
Prediction 77.52%1.29fair odd
EV -0.774%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.44%77.43%77.48%78.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2883.33%81.55%81.97%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 22.48%4.45fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.331%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%22.57%22.52%26.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.544.204.254.5028.25%23.80%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 77.52%; Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit): 22.48%. For Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.16%E +0.257%K +0.331%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.20%E -5.12%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.16%E +0.257%K +0.331%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 13:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.20%E -5.12%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.16%E +0.257%K +0.331%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 13:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.20%E -5.12%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.16%E +0.257%K +0.331%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 09:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.98%E -5.81%K -34.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.66%E -0.615%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 13:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 13:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.20%E -5.12%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.20%E -5.12%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.20%E -5.12%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.20%E -5.12%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.20%E -5.12%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.34%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.65%E -3.78%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.98%E -5.81%K -34.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.65%E -3.78%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.65%E -3.78%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.65%E -3.78%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 01:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.98%E -5.81%K -34.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 13:07 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.98%E -5.81%K -34.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.71%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 13:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.62%EV -4.65%E -3.78%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.38%EV -9.41%E -2.33%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.10%E -2.48%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.43%E -4.45%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 09:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -3.87%E -3.12%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -13.45%E -3.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -1.55%E -1.22%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -14.58%E -3.84%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 12:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.44%EV -0.774%E -0.605%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.56%EV -20.42%E -5.77%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96% | 0.1% | 2026-10-05 05:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.17% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.83% | 0.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |