The School of Odds

Troy Trojans v Sam Houston State Bearkats

2026-09-05 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 85.32%1.17fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -3.96%
Kelly -37.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%85.35%85.36%86.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.121.1291.74%89.72%89.29%89.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sam Houston State Bearkats (Visit)

Prediction 14.68%6.81fair odd
EV +3.48%
Edge +0.494%
Kelly +0.575%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 7.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.69%14.65%14.64%16.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.506.456.507.0518.18%15.49%15.38%14.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 86.29%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.71%EV +3.48%E +0.494%K +0.575%G +0.020%3.5%2026-07-22 17:39
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.75%E +0.392%K +0.458%G +0.013%4.4%2026-07-22 16:29
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.75%E +0.392%K +0.458%G +0.013%4.4%2026-07-22 16:28
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.923%E -0.137%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 16:34
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.11%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -1.66%E -0.247%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 13:25
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.59%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.41%EV -2.39%E -0.360%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 16:04
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.59%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.41%EV -2.39%E -0.360%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 16:04
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.59%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.41%EV -2.39%E -0.360%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 16:04
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.59%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.41%EV -2.39%E -0.360%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 16:04
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.59%E -0.707%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 13:25
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.59%E -0.707%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 13:25
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.59%E -0.707%K -0.835%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 16:29
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.15%E -5.59%K -61.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.59%E -0.707%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.26%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 13:24
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.26%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.26%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 16:04
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.26%E -1.32%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 16:04
MyBookie.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.11%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.00%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 13:30
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -10.46%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -37.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -10.46%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 16:04
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.00%E -6.42%K -77.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.93%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 13:25
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -6.15%E -5.59%K -61.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -19.27%E -3.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.