The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Troy Trojans v Alabama State Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 20:01 UTC

Final: Troy Trojans 34–17 Alabama State Hornets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 91.66%1.09fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -47.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.13%91.48%91.78%92.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.041.0698.04%96.19%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama State Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 8.34%11.99fair odd
EV +8.43%
Edge +0.649%
Kelly +0.703%
Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.47%8.52%8.22%9.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.0911.2513.0010.53%9.01%8.89%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 91.66%; Alabama State Hornets (Visit): 8.34%. For Alabama State Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.99. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.76%E -3.58%K -75.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +8.43%E +0.649%K +0.703%G +0.059%2.9%2026-09-12 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.76%E -3.58%K -75.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +0.090%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.76%E -3.58%K -75.16%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +0.090%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-12 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +0.090%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.01%EV -6.51%E -6.38%K -325.38%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.99%EV -2.00%E -0.170%K -0.186%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.77%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.23%EV -3.25%E -0.280%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.08%E -0.355%K -0.389%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.08%E -0.355%K -0.389%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.08%E -0.355%K -0.389%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.08%E -0.355%K -0.389%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.59%E -5.43%K -186.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -4.08%E -0.355%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.59%E -5.43%K -186.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -4.08%E -0.355%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.51%E -6.38%K -325.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -4.08%E -0.355%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.51%E -6.38%K -325.38%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -4.08%E -0.355%K -0.389%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -6.17%E -0.548%K -0.602%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:55
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.25%EV -2.84%E -2.68%K -47.35%G +0.000%11.05I 9.05%NM 8.75%EV -7.83%E -0.709%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.76%E -3.58%K -75.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -8.25%E -0.750%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.25%E -0.750%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:00
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.25%E -0.750%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.25%E -0.750%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 17:05
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -8.25%E -0.750%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.21%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%10.79I 9.27%NM 8.79%EV -10.00%E -0.927%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -14.51%E -1.42%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:05
Caesars🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.76%E -3.58%K -75.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -16.59%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -16.59%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 15:33
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -16.59%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:38
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -16.59%E -1.66%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -20.76%E -2.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.67%E -4.49%K -116.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -20.76%E -2.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-12 17:10
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-09-12 20:00