Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets v Western Michigan Broncos

2026-10-24 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 61.32%1.63fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%61.50%61.43%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.531.551.5970.42%65.31%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 38.68%2.59fair odd
EV +0.942%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.585%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%38.50%38.57%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.462.452.6142.74%40.65%40.82%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toledo Rockets (Local): 61.32%; Western Michigan Broncos (Visit): 38.68%. For Western Michigan Broncos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.61, producing a positive expected value of +0.942%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -8.01%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +0.942%E +0.361%K +0.585%G +0.006%5.0%2026-10-18 19:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.24%E -6.24%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.555%E +0.214%K +0.347%G +0.002%6.0%2026-10-18 19:15
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.24%E -6.24%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.38%E -0.540%K -0.889%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 19:14
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-18 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 17:24
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.33%E -2.78%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -11.08%E -7.64%K -24.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.31%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 19:20
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.09%E -1.65%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 17:54
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.47%E -1.81%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 19:19
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 19:24
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.01%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.49%E -1.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-18 19:00
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.72%E -2.37%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 17:29
picklebet_au🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -12.92%E -9.10%K -30.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -7.18%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-18 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.34%E -3.52%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 17:29
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.34%E -3.52%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -9.50%E -4.06%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-10-18 18:59
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-10-18 18:59
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.79%10.7%2026-10-18 19:14