Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets v Temple Owls

2026-09-19 19:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 59.21%1.69fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -6.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%59.24%59.21%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.591.581.6264.52%63.00%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Temple Owls (Visit)

Prediction 40.79%2.45fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%40.76%40.79%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.302.302.3544.44%43.45%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toledo Rockets (Local): 59.21%; Temple Owls (Visit): 40.79%. For Toledo Rockets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -4.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.14%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 11:15
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.55%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 14:10
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.86%E -3.68%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.45%E -4.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.36%E -2.31%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 13:55
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.45%E -4.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.36%E -2.31%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.45%E -4.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:20
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.45%E -4.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -6.59%E -2.88%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.45%E -4.08%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -7.40%E -3.26%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 14:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.04%E -4.49%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 10:20
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.04%E -4.49%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.22%E -3.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 11:19
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.22%E -3.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:19
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.23%E -5.31%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.22%E -3.65%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-09-13 14:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%8.6%2026-09-13 14:10