Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets v Temple Owls

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 19:00 UTC

Final: Toledo Rockets 49–48 Temple Owls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 63.60%1.57fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -5.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.81%64.01%63.49%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5369.93%67.61%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Temple Owls (Visit)

Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +2.01%
Growth +0.075%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.99%36.51%38.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.462.672.652.8540.65%37.47%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 63.60%; Temple Owls (Visit): 36.40%. For Temple Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +3.73%E +1.31%K +2.01%G +0.075%4.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.2%2026-09-19 17:49
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.05%E -6.33%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.91%E +0.681%K +1.06%G +0.020%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.41%E -5.84%K -19.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.087%E +0.032%K +0.050%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 17:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -7.14%E -4.89%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -0.277%E -0.101%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.96%E -2.62%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.37%E -0.505%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 18:29
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 18:29
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 18:28
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:48
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.77%E -5.36%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.73%E -0.642%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:34
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.96%E -2.62%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -2.82%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 18:49
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.96%E -2.62%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:49
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.55%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.96%E -2.62%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.68%E -1.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.32%E -2.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:49
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.59%E -3.06%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:29
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.23%E -3.51%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:54
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 14:48
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -7.92%E -3.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:49
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.32%E -2.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 18:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.32%E -2.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 18:54
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.86%E -3.96%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -3.32%E -2.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -10.47%E -4.26%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 18:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-09-19 18:54
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-19 18:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-09-19 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-09-19 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-09-19 18:49
BetOpenly◎1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-09-19 18:54