Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets v San Diego State Aztecs

2026-09-26 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 45.94%2.18fair odd

EV -3.52%

Edge -1.68%

Kelly -3.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.60%45.97%45.94%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.002.042.042.1050.00%49.11%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego State Aztecs (Visit)

Prediction 54.06%1.85fair odd

EV -4.86%

Edge -2.76%

Kelly -6.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.62%54.03%54.06%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.721.741.731.7658.14%57.53%57.80%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toledo Rockets (Local): 45.94%; San Diego State Aztecs (Visit): 54.06%. For Toledo Rockets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -3.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.52%E -1.68%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.86%E -2.76%K -6.39%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-20 12:04
Coolbet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.44%E -2.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.86%E -2.76%K -6.39%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-20 12:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.40%E -3.09%K -7.20%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-20 08:14
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.82%E -2.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.40%E -3.09%K -7.20%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-20 08:13
Betr (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.82%E -2.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.94%E -3.41%K -8.03%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-20 12:09
SportsBet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.28%E -3.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.75%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-20 08:10
ReBet🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.74%E -3.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-20 08:14
betano_uk🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.11%E -4.06%K -8.11%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-20 08:13
William Hill🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.11%E -4.06%K -8.11%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-20 08:14
Bet Victor🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.11%E -4.06%K -8.11%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.48%E -3.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-20 08:14
LeoVegas🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.11%E -4.06%K -8.11%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.75%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-09-20 08:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%	6.7%	2026-09-20 12:13