Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets v Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 19:32 UTC

Final: Toledo Rockets 63–10 Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

98%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 97.77%1.02fair odd

EV -1.25%

Edge -1.24%

Kelly -125.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

93.38%97.77%97.62%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.50%99.50%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 2.23%44.88fair odd

EV +125.06%

Edge +1.24%

Kelly +1.25%

Growth +1.56%

assuming max odds 101.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

0.99%2.23%2.38%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

14.2558.2146.00101.007.02%1.72%2.17%0.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 97.77%; Central Connecticut Blue Devils (Visit): 2.23%. For Central Connecticut Blue Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 44.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 101.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +125.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 99.01%EV -1.25%E -1.24%K -125.06%G +0.000%	101.00I 0.99%NM 0.99%EV +125.06%E +1.24%K +1.25%G +1.56%	0.0%	2026-09-12 14:25
Neds🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 99.01%EV -1.25%E -1.24%K -125.06%G +0.000%	101.00I 0.99%NM 0.99%EV +125.06%E +1.24%K +1.25%G +1.56%	0.0%	2026-09-12 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.23%E -2.23%K +0.000%G +0.000%	51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +13.64%E +0.268%K +0.273%G +0.037%	2.0%	2026-09-12 15:19
theScore Bet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.23%E -2.23%K +0.000%G +0.000%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV -8.64%E -0.211%K -0.216%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-12 19:30
DraftKings🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.23%E -2.23%K +0.000%G +0.000%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV -8.64%E -0.211%K -0.216%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-09-12 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.25%E -1.24%K -125.06%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -68.25%E -4.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-07 06:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 98.21%	55.56I 1.80%NM 1.79%	0.8%	2026-09-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%	32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%	2.1%	2026-09-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%	32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%	2.1%	2026-09-12 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.94%	32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%	2.1%	2026-09-12 19:30