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Toledo Rockets v Buffalo Bulls
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toledo Rockets (Local)
Prediction 88.43%1.13fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -27.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%88.37%88.48%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.1095.24%93.14%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Buffalo Bulls (Visit)
Prediction 11.57%8.64fair odd
EV +4.14%
Edge +0.460%
Kelly +0.517%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.45%11.63%11.52%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.258.509.0015.38%12.12%11.76%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 88.43%; Buffalo Bulls (Visit): 11.57%. For Buffalo Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.64. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.15%E -6.81%K -142.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.15%E -6.81%K -142.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.21%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.79%EV +2.40%E +0.271%K +0.306%G +0.007% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +0.666%E +0.077%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -1.18%E -0.139%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -1.18%E -0.139%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 15:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -2.73%E -2.48%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -5.12%E -0.624%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.23%EV -3.61%E -3.31%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.77%EV -5.47%E -0.669%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.61%E -3.31%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.61%E -3.31%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.15%E -6.81%K -142.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.04%EV -4.50%E -4.16%K -56.21%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.96%EV -8.01%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.61%E -3.31%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.38%E -5.03%K -76.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 13:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.73%E -2.48%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -19.00%E -2.71%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.73%E -2.48%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -19.00%E -2.71%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.61%E -3.31%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -19.00%E -2.71%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.27%E -5.91%K -104.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -19.00%E -2.71%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.73%E -2.48%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -24.79%E -3.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.56% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.44% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 19:18 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.15% | 9.98I 10.02%NM 9.85% | 1.8% | 2026-10-10 18:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.9% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.89% | 2.0% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 2.6% | 2026-10-10 19:30 |